(11:00 am ET) "Daily Charge! Call" with Kip Herriage
+1 (712) 432-6308 Access Code: 100115#
"Kip's VRA financial newsletter is a MUST read for every saavy investor in this country. Disregard it at your own peril. His mantra is my mantra: Buy Gold and China. Sell short on pretty much everything else. Kip Herriage's newsletter is my financial Bible."
--Wayne Allyn Root
2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
Author, "The Conscience of a Libertarian"
(11:00 am ET) "Daily Charge! Call" with Kip Herriage
+1 (712) 432-6308 Access Code: 100115#
Hi Kip, Thanks for the recommendations! I only had a little in my account - about $45. I started with the VIX trade and made enough there to upgrade to your gold mining rec. It has turned into more than a thousand dollars right now. Yea! You are my hero! KK
Kip, I was skeptical, as other newsletters have burned me in the past. I came in and used puts on the S&P and made more money in just 3 months than I‘ve ever made in investing. That’s over 40 years by the way. I’m 7 for 8 with you so far and about to buy that Tesla you write about with my gains. Just really glad I got your email. MP
Mr. Herriage, You weren’t kidding when you said you felt confident about where the market was going. I made over 300% in less than 2 months. Not sure how you do this but I have worked with these so-called guru’s on wall st. and they don’t come close to your results. Thank you, thank you! LT
WHETHER OR NOT you subscribe and become a member of the VRA, I only ask that you pay attention to what’s really happening…I believe it’s vital for your financial health in the coming months.
The world is reaching a crucial stage of financial transformation, and while no one has a crystal ball that’s perfect, 218% in gains over the past few months back up the fact that the VRA is killing it for our Members.
The VRA Trading and Investing System is having one of its best years ever. Since February 12th of this year, we have already locked in gains of 218%!
S&P ETF: + 43%
S&P Calls: +25%
VIX Index: + 108%
S&P Calls: + 42%
BUT THE BIGGEST MOVES OF ALL ARE ABOUT TO HAPPEN...AND "ALMOST" EVERYONE ELSE WILL BE CAUGHT FLAT FOOTED.
Hello again. Since 2003 I have been the sole publisher and editor of the globally renowned investment newsletter, the Vertical Research Advisory, and since that time here are a few of my predictions and recommendations:
2003: Recommended that investors buy gold at $375/oz and silver at $4.75/oz...gains of more than 500% followed.
2004: Recommended "Chinese Miracle" equities....gains of 120-350% followed.
2007: Began warning investors about the coming collapse in real estate and the stock market. We know what happened next.
2008-2009: VRA Subscribers made more than 500% in just under 6 months as we used ETF's to profit from the wild swings in the market.
2010-2011: VRA Subscribers made more than 1300% on my recommendation of Ivanhoe Mines…in less than 10 months!
2014: Gains of 218% in less than 5 months, using ETF's and Options.
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VRA Publisher/Editor (since 2003)
The bottom line on the decision to become bullish was really two-fold. The FED’s ongoing policy of printing fiat currency…quantitative easing…was continuing to pump ridiculous amounts of money into the economy/stock market, and every major indicator that I followed indicated that the market would move sharply higher. In addition, we were beginning the most seasonally bullish period for the markets, as the October – May time frame typically gives investors their very best investment returns. In short, the VRA Trading/Investing System was very bullish.
On Friday, I recommended taking profits in UPRO, and while booking a gain of 43% is always welcomed, it was not an easy decision. As you have been reading, I have battled this decision for weeks, but the combination of events taking place now saw the VRA System flash its first “market reversal” since last October. The negatives now far outweigh the positives, and while this doesn’t guarantee that the stock market will go into collapse mode, it does tell us that being long stocks is now a much more risky proposition.
A SEA CHANGE HAS OCCURRED
Much like the ominous events of early to mid 2008, we are seeing a major confluence of negatives, and these negatives simply make it impossible for me to be bullish on stocks. The negatives include a sea change in both the fundamentals as well as the technicals. Let’s review these now.
Fundamentally, the macro environment has swung from positive to negative, and the negatives now appear to be coming to a major head. Geopolitically, we have the Russia-Ukraine situation that is quickly devolving into a major international conflict….one that could even lead to the next World War. In fact, leading voices throughout Europe are now voicing this exact possibility….warnings not tossed around willy nilly. Folks, anyone selling this conflict short is either not paying attention or has a very short memory. And, unlike recent global military actions/uprisings, this one has the potential to affect economic growth and development around the globe… FAR more than anything else we have seen recently…..which is why investors of the world must be on high alert.
On a somewhat different, but I believe incredibly important note, consider for a moment the following:
Combined, in Iraq and Afghanistan, US military losses total more than 6700 lives lost. In addition, the US has seen more than 50,800 service men and women wounded in action. As incredibly sad and startling as these statistics are, the losses do not stop there. According to the Department of Veteran Affairs, following 9/11, more than 100,000 suicides have taken place, among active and retired military. The costs of war are truly great, which is why they should be entered into with a great deal of thought and an even larger degree of trepidation.
Following the last 25 years of global war, is the US more or less respected globally, and are we safer now than we were before? I think we all know the answer to both.
These are such important questions, and unfortunately, very few real conversations are taking place around them. But there’s another issue that may be even more important, and it may be the one that turns Russia-Ukraine into WWIII.
THE NEW NORMAL – IMMUNITY AS A WEAPON FOR WORLD WAR
The global conflicts that I’ve written about here, along with the untold casualties and costs that have come with them, may well be leading us down the path of the next great global conflict….the next world war. The issue I’m referring to is human immunity. Over the last 25 years, the world has come to see these global conflicts, civil wars and actual wars as normal…they are essentially nothing more than the cost of doing business to most. Little actually surprises us these days, and in fact, we would be more surprised were we to be told that peace had broken out globally and that wars were a thing of the past.
It’s the conditioned mindset that we not only expect war, but that we now accept war, that should have us most concerned for what might be coming. And, if this is the state of mind for the non-military, non-government segment of the population, you can only imagine the mindset that exists for those that reside inside the military industrial complex. If we, as regular folks on the planet, are now immune to the dangers and risks of war, exactly how immune must those inside the war machine be? Beyond immunity, they must certainly smell opportunity.
It’s this complacency…this view of war as the norm… that I believe should have us extremely concerned about what Russia-Ukraine (or a future conflict) might quickly evolve into. Ask yourself this question; On a scale from 1-10, how concerned would you be if you heard that Russia and Ukraine were officially at war, and that China, Iran and North Korea announced they were allies of Russia, and joining the war in support? I’m sure that many reading this would say you were a “10” and that these events would concern you a great deal. But the average person on the street? Not only would the average person care little, 90% would be unable to show you where Russia is on a map. They could surely tell you about the next big album to drop, or who is sleeping with whom in Hollywood, but global military conflict is not exactly high on most people’s lists these days.
Sure, much of this blame lies with our changes in society and our bottom of the rung educational system…but candidly, shouldn’t we come to expect this culture of immunity following the shock-to-the-systemevents from the last 25 years? Sadly, I believe the answer is yes. Now, more than ever, we are only awakened when something truly outrageous happens. My concern is that this is the exact mindset developing for the next world war, and whether it happens as a result of today’s Russia-Ukraine conflict, or something yet to come, the planet is perfectly ripe for the next great military conflict.
Final note on this extended point. History tells us that the best cure for global economic recession/depression is WAR….and with the military industrial complex at maximum strength and control, all it might take is the next big false flag event…and folks…WWIII could soon become our new reality. How shocked/concerned will we really be??
In addition to the military/war risks, we now have a number of fundamental/macro risks that we must consider….risks that were not present until recently. As I’ve been writing, China’s economy has slowed considerably, and as a primary engine for global economic growth, this slowdown is already being felt in the US and elsewhere. Since Russia-Ukraine reached the level of economic sanctions, Russia’s stock market has dropped a stunning 22%, with even larger losses of more than 30% in 2014. These events make China’s growth all the more important. In the US, housing has hit a brick wall, with housing starts and mortgage applications flashing recessionary warnings. Just this week we saw many of the major housing stocks break their 200-day moving averages, and as leading indicators, this is a worrying economic sign.
The stock markets technical indicators have me very concerned as well…another major reason the VRA Trading System is bearish.
Overall, earnings reports for US companies have been fairly solid….but it’s the markets negative reaction to these earnings reports that has me concerned. Of course, the collapse in price for the techs and biotechs has had me concerned for some time…and their attempt at recovery this week came on very light volume and then were slam dunked again on Friday as the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 dropped by close to 2%. I encourage students of technical analysis to pull up the charts on the stock markets leaders for this past year, and study their chart patterns from the past 90- days or so. You will see a common pattern among them, and one that is referred to as a “head and shoulders”, universally recognized as among the most bearish of chart patterns. Folks….I see H&S patterns everywhere I look….these rounding patterns tell us that the markets leaders are very likely in the process of breaking down, and that the sellers far outweigh the buyers. We should also heed the warnings from VRA source “top secret”…one of the best market experts I’ve ever known…and his bear market warnings as a result of decreasing money flows.
The one saving grace has been the way blue chips have supported the market. For example, while the Nasdaq witnessed a near 10% correction, and is still lower by 7% on the year, the S&P 500 is lower by just 2%. This fact is the ONLY fact that is keeping the majority of bulls bullish. Should the big caps start to play catch up on the downside, we will see most everyone desert the stock market…and this is when the really big losses will begin. And yes, this is now what I expect to take place and another reason the VRA went from bullish to bearish.
The final saving grace for the stock market is of course the FED….continued Central Bank financial manipulation. Here’s my prediction for the FED. For as long as possible, Yellen’s FED will continue to saypubliclythat the FED will move forward with their tapering program on QE. Yellen and her fellow FED bankers will tell us that “economic growth continues to take place” and that “the FED is committed to the continued reduction in QE”. However, as global conflict, reductions in economic growth, and 20-30% stock market losses take place, the FED will do the only thing the FED knows how to do….print more money…which in this case will also mean a “temporary suspension of the taper in QE”, and in fact, another INCREASE in QE.
Folks….if I am correct (and with as little ego as possible, I will put my track record up against anyone…especially the 1000 economists that work for the FED), we will see an incredible amount of stock market volatility going forward…along with large market declines. IMPORTANTLY, this decline will not happen in a straight line, and while we must be prepared to go short….we must also be prepared to then cover our short positions and in some cases, go long for a counter-trend bear market rally. For example, when the market starts to get wind of the FED’s increase in QE, the rally higher will be stunning….and anyone short the market will be hurt badly. This is why I continue to recommend that VRA Subscribers use options as an investment strategy. Options give us the ability to easily go long or short and to also use a great deal of leverage without the risk of large/unknown losses (which are very real with short selling and futures trading).
With the 43% gain on UPRO, we have locked in profits of 218% so far in 2014. The market is setting us up perfectly for what should be a record year for the VRA.
Until next time, thanks for reading….make it a great week
After massive losses, I wrote that a stock market rally was in the cards and we got that today with a minor move higher in the Dow and S&P 500, and a much better recovery in the badly beaten up Nasdaq and Russell 2000....home to 99% of internet/biotech stocks that have been hit with 20-30% losses over the last 2-4 weeks.
In a perfect world we would have had a sharp move lower at the open today, and the VRA would have recommended the purchase of 1-2 investments that were timed perfectly for short term gains of 30-50% plus. And, while it's a near term positive that the markets halted their recent destruction, the kind of trading that we saw today is NOT indicative of a final bottom being in place. Instead, it's much more likely that we will see at least one more round of focused selling that takes the market lower...at least that's the trend that I have witnessed throughout my 30 years of observing the markets. Bottom line; buying either stocks or call options on stocks/indices right now is almost certainly going to be a mistake...at least from everything that the VRA System sees happening as of now.
Remember my warnings from a month ago? I wrote (consistently) that we should closely watch the market leaders...momentum stocks like Google, Tesla, Netflix, Facebook, Amazon, etc....and that if these current day leaders began to display significant weakness that it would be a major warning sign for the overall market. This is exactly what played out....now our focus turns to the future, and again, we will watch these same leaders to get a sense of when the perfect buying opportunity presents itself once again.
In less than 2 months we have locked in gains of 175%, and the last thing we want to do is give back our profits. With this in mind, I would rather wait and be as certain as possible that a true bottom is in place before acting. Ideally, we will see a retest of recent lows...a retest that holds...and this will serve as a springboard for the next big move higher. I could be wrong...but just don't think we are there yet...and the VRA Trading System is confirming everything I've written here.
Finally, we saw another 7% move higher in our mining ETF today. As I've been expecting, the miners bounced almost exactly off of their longer term support levels...with gold and silver doing the same. Continue to buy each of these....we will see gains of several hundred percent before we sell...gains that could reach 1000% plus.
KEEP AN EYE ON GLOBAL RISKS
We are seeing a new flare up in Ukraine, with Russian protestors raising the risks of further conflict. This may not end with just Crimea...if things spread to cities like Kiev, the international community may not feel that they have any choice but to become involved militarily. Remember, Putin's poll numbers have never been higher than they are now...the taking of Crimea was a major positive for him in the eyes of the vast majority of Russians. Now, we have Obama making empty threats and warning Russia to back down. Let's hope this doesn't escalate further...for lots of reasons. Financially speaking, it could turn into a big negative for stock markets...something to keep an eye on for sure.
In addition, the sources that I trust the most when it comes to China are warning that their credit/debt/housing bubble has now burst, and that the 3 year decline in stock prices is just the beginning of what will become massive losses over the next 1-2 years. If this happens, there is little to no chance that the US markets will be immune to serious economic decline....and Europe will be hit even harder.
Maybe these risks are what’s really behind the big drop in our market leading momentum stocks. Either way, we will know soon enough. Just another reason to be patient and to protect our gains.
Until next time, thanks for reading.
The stock market is behaving almost exactly as our technical indicators and VRA Trading System has predicted. Each of the three major indices (Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq) closed sharply higher again today, and barring another geopolitical surprise from Russia (or elsewhere) the markets should now be able to focus on the domestic US economy...one that continues to improve, albeit slowly.
The following was from last weeks VRA...just prior to the markets big move higher:
“Could this be the beginning of a big leg down in the overall markets? Yes…anything is possible…and long term, the economies structural problems WILL send the markets far lower….but the internals that I see now are telling us that this is a buying opportunity, and we will use this pullback to add to our positions.”
Nothing that I saw in the stock market concerned me, outside of Russia-Ukraine, and thankfully for the world, this situation has not escalated further. There's something about Putin and the way this has been handled to date that tells me we haven't heard the last from him on Ukraine...his appetite may be a bit larger, but I don't see the level of risk that many are talking about. As investors, we need to watch this closely, but playing the Hitler card when comparing Putin's moves in Crimea and Ukraine to Hitler's early moves leading up to WWII seemed more than a little paranoid to me. This is why I looked past this risk and recommended that we aggressively buy our recommended leveraged indexes and call options on the pullback.
Yesterday we had the great (dis)pleasure of hearing from new FED Chair Janet Yellen, and while nothing that she said was a surprise, it was “how” she said it that sent the markets into a tizzy. Once the words, “higher interest rates in 6 months” left her mouth, the Dow Jones collapsed by 200 points in minutes and the party was on. As I wrote immediately after her press conference, Yellen’s verbal typo was actually a perfect buying opportunity:
“Based on what we see so far, once the market completes its shake-out we will see a continuation of the move higher in equities. The VIX is actually down on the day (telling us there is little to fear), while financial stocks are positive and the NASDAQ is seeing a strong bounce back (particularly in up/down volume, which is even on the day).
We will let the trend be our friend here...this market is still headed higher. The magnet to 1900 on the S&P 500 looks to be strong.”
And, that's exactly what took place...
We are now approaching the end of the first quarter, and portfolio managers will most likely be strong buyers of stocks in advance of the quarter ending and the coming earnings reports, which I expect to be quite positive on balance. The tech leaders that we have been watching as leading directional indicators (Apple, Amazon, Google and Facebook, etc) have bounced back in a big way, and we are now seeing this leadership extend to the financials as well. This broadening in the markets is another bullish sign, and when combined with the technicals that the VRA System keys off of, we should see a solid move higher in the markets as we move into April.
VRA TRADING SYSTEM
Over the last month, the VRA Options System has produced profits of 108% in VIX Puts, 25% profits in SPY calls, and we currently have a 60% profit in our Mining Index calls, for a total gain of 193%. ..and we are just getting started. The VRA system is designed to uncover significant trading opportunities at important turning points in both the overall market and in individual stocks. In addition, as market volatility swings from overbought to oversold, the VRA system will position us to capitalize on the emotions of the market using the VIX (volatility index)....where the vast majority of investors continue to "buy high and sell low"... or just the opposite of what an investor should do...based on the mistakes of following their emotions...their fear or their greed.
Options trading is not for everyone, and that's why the VRA will continue to uncover undervalued stocks that can give us 50-100% gains...and much more...each and every year. Currently, our Stock of the Century is waiting on major news. When this news hits we can expect a significant move higher...followed by years of exciting and rewarding news on drilling reports and additional activity out of their other major global concessions.
In addition, we will continue to see massive gains in our precious metals positions, and our leveraged positions in gold and silver ETF's. I've been bullish on gold and silver since 2003 and before this bull market is over, investors will be shocked by how high precious metals go. I continue to look for the best opportunity to add a new small cap mining stock to the VRA Core Portfolio. Our current gains will be dwarfed by our future gains...that much I am certain of.
Regardless of your risk/reward parameters, the VRA has an investing style for you, provided that you understand one important point; nothing about the VRA investing model is safe or conservative. It was designed at launch in 2003 to give subscribers the opportunity to make 50-100% plus per year by discovering aggressive stocks and options that have the potential to provide us with these kinds of market beating returns.
Those interested in taking advantage of the VRA should act now, as two new recommendations are perfectly timed to capitalize on this market. Simply go to: vraletter.com and when signing up use promo code: verticalpromo
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The rest of 2014 is shaping up to be an incredibly rewarding year for VRA Subscribers. The FED has fully telegraphed their future moves, the charts are acting almost exactly as the VRA system has forecast, and our combination of options trading for short term gains plus growth stocks for market beating longer term gains has us positioned perfectly for additional 100% plus return opportunities.
Until next time,
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